Tilicho Lake
Annapurna · Manang4,919 m max elevation
Checked against every source we read, and nothing is flagged. (No active advisories · 1 of 7 unavailable.)
Trail conditions: no active advisories. 1 of 7 hazards unavailable.Recorded by Visualize Nepal · since 2026-10-18. This overrides what the hazard data alone would say (open with caution).
Last checked 8 Nov 2026, 12:17 NPT · source dhm.gov.np
Observed weather
Last readings from DHM's Tilicho station, 1.2 km from the route. These are measurements, not a forecast.
Temperature
-7.1°C
-15.5° to 4.8° today
Rain, 24 h
0 mm
Humidity
55%
Observed
09:45 NPT
8 Nov 2026
Three-day outlook
Open-Meteo weather model, downscaled to 4,919 m. DHM publishes no machine-readable mountain forecast, so this comes from a model rather than from Nepal's meteorological service — treat it as indicative.
| Day | Snow | Rain | Gusts | Temp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | 0 cm | 0 mm | 31 km/h | -20° to -4° |
| 2026-11-09 | 0 cm | 0 mm | 32 km/h | -21° to -5° |
| 2026-11-10 | 0 cm | 0 mm | 31 km/h | -20° to -5° |
Hazards
Only the hazards that apply to this route are listed. Individual hazards keep the meteorological wording — advisory, watch, warning — and the worst of them is what sets the route's state above.
No snow forecast in the next 3 days
Open-Meteo model forecast at 4919 m. A forecast, not an observation, and not an official DHM warning — mountain snowfall is notoriously hard to model.
Forecast from the Open-Meteo weather model — not an observation· Observed 8 Nov 2026
No avalanche forecast exists for Nepal
Nepal has no operational avalanche forecasting service. Nobody publishes an avalanche rating for this route, and no incident has been logged nearby — ask your guide and the local park office.
No source available
Rainfall too low to raise landslide risk (0.0 mm in 24 h)
Estimated from DHM rain gauge readings using our own thresholds. This is not an official DHM landslide warning.
Estimated by us from DHM readings — not an official warning· Observed 8 Nov 2026, 12:05 NPT· Jomsom TPB
Kali Gandaki at Jomsom is below its warning level (2.16 m of 4.50 m)
DHM’s own threshold, measured on DHM’s own instrument· Observed 8 Nov 2026, 12:00 NPT· Kali Gandaki at Jomsom
7 km/h at Thakmarpha — light to moderate
Strong afternoon valley winds are normal in the Kali Gandaki, so thresholds here are set one Beaufort step higher than elsewhere. Measured 10 m above the valley floor. Ridge and pass winds are consistently stronger than this reading.
Estimated by us from DHM readings — not an official warning· Observed 8 Nov 2026, 11:45 NPT· Thakmarpha
No DHM rainfall threshold crossed (0.0 mm in 24 h)
Rain gauges above the snow line under-measure snow heavily, so a low reading here does not rule out heavy snowfall.
DHM’s own threshold, measured on DHM’s own instrument· Observed 8 Nov 2026, 12:05 NPT· Jomsom TPB
No magnitude 4.5+ earthquake near this route in the last 14 days
USGS earthquake feed.
Reported incident — already happened near the route, not a forecast· Observed 8 Nov 2026, 12:17 NPT
What this means for your trip
Standing guidance tied to the conditions above. Confirm with your guide before acting on any of it.
- Avalanche No data: Nothing is currently flagged on the hazards we can measure, but several cannot be checked at all from public data. Confirm conditions with your guide before you commit to this route.