Tsum Valley
Manaslu · Gorkha3,700 m max elevation
Not currently available for trekking. Do not set out without local clearance. (No active advisories · 2 of 7 unavailable.)
Trail conditions: no active advisories. 2 of 7 hazards unavailable.Recorded by Visualize Nepal · since 2026-10-10. This overrides what the hazard data alone would say (open with caution).
Last checked 8 Nov 2026, 12:17 NPT · source dhm.gov.np
Observed weather
No DHM weather station reports within range of this route.
Treat this as unknown rather than fine — it means nobody is measuring here, not that the weather is good.
Three-day outlook
Open-Meteo weather model, downscaled to 3,700 m. DHM publishes no machine-readable mountain forecast, so this comes from a model rather than from Nepal's meteorological service — treat it as indicative.
| Day | Snow | Rain | Gusts | Temp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | 0.28 cm | 0.4 mm | 41 km/h | -11° to 4° |
| 2026-11-09 | 0.14 cm | 0.3 mm | 43 km/h | -12° to 3° |
| 2026-11-10 | 0 cm | 0 mm | 39 km/h | -15° to 3° |
Hazards
Only the hazards that apply to this route are listed. Individual hazards keep the meteorological wording — advisory, watch, warning — and the worst of them is what sets the route's state above.
No snow forecast in the next 3 days
Open-Meteo model forecast at 3700 m. A forecast, not an observation, and not an official DHM warning — mountain snowfall is notoriously hard to model.
Forecast from the Open-Meteo weather model — not an observation· Observed 8 Nov 2026
No avalanche forecast exists for Nepal
Nepal has no operational avalanche forecasting service. Nobody publishes an avalanche rating for this route, and no incident has been logged nearby — ask your guide and the local park office.
No source available
Rainfall too low to raise landslide risk (0.0 mm in 24 h)
Estimated from DHM rain gauge readings using our own thresholds. This is not an official DHM landslide warning.
Estimated by us from DHM readings — not an official warning· Observed 7 Nov 2026, 23:25 NPT· Nile / Tsum Valley, Chumchet· low confidence
No river gauge in this trail’s catchment
The nearest gauges are tens of kilometres downstream in a different catchment, so they would say nothing useful about this trail.
No source available
Gusts forecast below 43 km/h over the next 3 days
Open-Meteo model forecast at 3700 m. DHM has no anemometer at this altitude, so this is modelled, not measured.
Forecast from the Open-Meteo weather model — not an observation· Observed 8 Nov 2026
No DHM rainfall threshold crossed (0.0 mm in 24 h)
Rain gauges above the snow line under-measure snow heavily, so a low reading here does not rule out heavy snowfall.
DHM’s own threshold, measured on DHM’s own instrument· Observed 7 Nov 2026, 23:25 NPT· Nile / Tsum Valley, Chumchet· low confidence
No magnitude 4.5+ earthquake near this route in the last 14 days
USGS earthquake feed.
Reported incident — already happened near the route, not a forecast· Observed 8 Nov 2026, 12:17 NPT
DHM operates very few stations in this area, so the nearest readings come from well outside the route. Treat everything on this page as indicative only.
What this means for your trip
Standing guidance tied to the conditions above. Confirm with your guide before acting on any of it.
- Flooding No data: Nothing is currently flagged on the hazards we can measure, but several cannot be checked at all from public data. Confirm conditions with your guide before you commit to this route.